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<td class="ke_0b"> <a href="javascript:ChangeProvince('http://hainan.iefang.com')">南</a> </td> <td class="ke_0c">   </td> <td class="ke_0d"> <a href="javascript:void(0)" onclick="javascript:CancelProvince();">郑州</a> </td> <td class="ke_0e"> <a href="javascript:ChangeProvince('http://xiamen.iefang.com')">厦门</a> </td> </tr> <tr> <td class="ke_0f"> <a href="javascript:void(0)" onclick="javascript:CancelProvince()" id="CancelList">取消</a> </td> <td class="ke_0b"> <a href="javascript:void(0)"></a> </td> <td class="ke_0c">   </td> <td class="ke_0d">   </td> <td class="ke_0e">   </td> </tr> </table> </div> </div> <div class="LOGO_mid" style="padding-left: 20px;"> <div class="LOGO_mid_up"> <span><a class="er_shou_2" target="_blank" href="/NewHouse/NewHouse_Index/">新房</a></span> <span>|</span> <span><a class="er_shou_2" target="_blank" href="/SecondHandHouse/UsedMainPage/"> 二手?/a></span> <span>|</span> <span><a class="er_shou_2" target="_blank" href="/RentHouse/IndexRent_Index/"> U房</a></span> 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class="zhai_zhu"> <a onclick="setflat('别墅')" href="javascript:void(0)">别墅</a></p> <p class="zhai_zhu"> <a onclick="setflat('写字?)" href="javascript:void(0)">写字?/a></p> <p class="zhai_zhu"> <a onclick="setflat('商铺')" href="javascript:void(0)">商铺</a></p> </div> <div id="price_input_detail" class="bei_cen3" style="display: none; position: absolute; z-index: 2; background-color: white; margin-top: -12px;"> <p class="qn_qu_unlimited"> <a style="color: #fd7b00; text-decoration: none" onclick="setPrice('不 ?)" href="javascript:void(0)"> ??/a></p> <p class="qn_qu"> 单hQ元/q米Q?/p> <p class="bu_zhu"> <a onclick="setPrice('全部')" href="javascript:void(0)">全部</a></p> <p class="bu_zhu"> <a onclick="setPrice('10000以下')" href="javascript:void(0)">10000以下</a></p> <p class="bu_zhu"> <a onclick="setPrice('10000-15000?)" href="javascript:void(0)">10000-15000?/a></p> <p class="bu_zhu"> <a onclick="setPrice('15000-20000?)" href="javascript:void(0)">15000-20000?/a></p> <p class="bu_zhu"> <a onclick="setPrice('20000-30000?)" href="javascript:void(0)">20000-30000?/a></p> <p class="bu_zhu"> <a onclick="setPrice('30000-40000?)" href="javascript:void(0)">30000-40000?/a></p> <p class="bu_zhu"> <a onclick="setPrice('40000以上')" href="javascript:void(0)">40000以上</a></p> </div> </div> </div> <div class="LOGO_mid2"> <a id="TopSearchBtn" href="javascript:void(0)">搜烦</a></div> <script type="text/javascript"> $("#TopSearchBtn").click(function () { /*初始化数据参?/ var citycode = ""; var wuye = ""; var jiage = ""; var jiage1 = ""; var jushi = ""; var guanjianzi = ""; /*获取?/ var con1 = $("#area_content:first").html(); var con2 = $("#flat_content:first").html(); var con3 = $("#price_content:first").html(); var con4 = $("#search_key").attr("value"); var pcode = $("#pcode").val(); /*参数讄*/ /*区域获取*/ if (con1 != "" || con1 != null || con1 != "区县/地铁") { citycode = GetCityNum(con1, pcode); } /*物业cd*/ if (con2 != "" || con2 != null) { if (con2 == "住宅") { wuye = "type=1"; /*/NewHouse/NewHouse_Search*/ } 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jiage; } } if (guanjianzi.length > 0 && guanjianzi != "输入关键?楼盘?地名{?") { $.post("/RentSearch/GetChineseCode", { dataValue: guanjianzi }, function (data) { if (urlstring.indexOf("?") > 0) { urlstring += "&keywords=" + data; } else { urlstring += "?keywords=" + data; } document.location.href = urlstring; }); } else { document.location.href = urlstring; } }); </script> <div class="LOGO_right"> <p class="fa_bu"> <img src="../../Images/Rentimg/hu1.gif" alt="" /> <span>发布</span>:<a href="/UserRegister/Login/" target="_blank">出租</a> | <a href="/UserRegister/Login/" target="_blank">求租</a></p> <p class="fa_bu"> <img src="../../Images/Rentimg/hu1.gif" alt="" /> <span>发布</span>:<a href="/UserRegister/Login/" target="_blank">出售</a> | <a href="/UserRegister/Login/" target="_blank">求购</a></p> </div> </div> <!--LOGO_box --> <div class="nav_box"> <div class="xin_A"> <a href="/NewHouse/NewHouse_Index/" target="_blank"></a> </div> <div class="xin_B"> <p class="bie_zi"> <a class="yue_A" 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<span>热点专题【图?/span> </p> <p class="shang_ban">政策向左 市场向右</p> <p class="bai_xing">作者: 旉:2017/7/25 7:47:00 来源Q新房?/p> <p class="zai_yao">摘要Q?017q上半年Q房C行业政策整体延箋分类调控、因城施{的d调,金融L杆媄响房C行业信贷政策调整Q严银行信贯金违规流入房C领域Q房Ch利率也随之逐月水涨舚w。但从房C政策效果来看Q?......</p> <div id="pic_url"> <p class="zhang_img"><img src="/uploads/gfgf/2017725746135646.gif"></p> </div> <div class="bodycontens"> <p>2017q上半年Q房C行业政策整体延箋分类调控、因城施{的d调,金融L杆媄响房C行业信贷政策调整Q严银行信贯金违规流入房C领域Q房Ch利率也随之逐月水涨舚w?/p><p>但从房地产政{效果来看,无疑陷入?ldquo;政策向左Q市场向?rdquo;的困局Q紧~政{的四面“围堵”只是让需求和资金?*城市四处“外溢”臛_他城市,以至于前期诸多高库存压力城市都走Z“量h齐升”之\?017上半qȝ大致如下Q?emsp; </p><p>一、金融去杠杆带来楼市信贷收羃Q但房贷占新增贷ƾ比重仍居高不下</p><p>2017q上半年Q央行进一步加强金融监,q在同业、资、表外以及媄子银行等多业务领域主动羃表,银行信贷持箋收紧Q房Ch利率也有不同E度地提升。以北京ZQ全面取消首套房贷利?*Q二套房贷利率将在基准利率基上上?0%?emsp; </p><p>二、中央着力落实土?ldquo;有供有限”Q支持发展房C住房U赁市场</p><p>2017q上半年Q中央层面的房地产市场政{基?ldquo;I窗”Q没有出台全国范围内的刺Ȁ或紧~政{,更多在酝酿房C市场调控长效机制的具体措施,集中表现在两个方面:一是着力落实土C应端“有供有限”Q二是推动房C住房U赁市场的发展,以期影响房地产市场预期?emsp; </p><p>“有供有限”房地产新政持l发力,热点城市着力加大土C应?月,住徏部发文要求各地根据商品住房库存消化周期调整供地计划,消化周期?6个月以上的城市,暂停供地Q消化周期在6个月以下的城市,不仅要显著增加供圎ͼ而且要加快供地节奏。从现有公布2017q供地计划城市来看,北京、天z、成都等热点城市都明昑֊大了土地供应Q尤其是宅地计划供应量大q提升,有助于房C市场回归至供求^衡的阶段Q缓解房Ch看涨预期?/p><p>不过Q上半年热点城市大量供地主要集中在远郊区域,中心城区土地供应长期~Z。热点城市土拍引入竞自持新规Q加快培育和发展房地产住房租赁市场。培育和发展住房U赁市场乃是房地产市场长效机制的重要内容Q北京、杭州等热点城市相调整土地方式Q土拍环节施行竞自持面积新规。譬如北京土拍更是频J出C房全自持的现象。随着新晋地块自持比例Ex提升Q企业开发策略被q由单纯的销售向“销?持有”转化Q住房租赁市场将q来规模化发展的新阶Dc?emsp; </p><p>三、四U城市开启调控热潮与“限售”措施成本轮调控最大不?/p><p>本轮调控房地产政{现已跨三个阶D,W一阶段起始?016q?月上深圳两市相l升U限购oQ随后苏州、南京重启限购,开启了热点城市房地产调控的大幕Q第二阶D,2016q国庆期?2城密集出台调控房C新政Q一时之间将房地产调控推升至无以复加的地步;W三阶段也就是今q上半年以北京ؓ“排头?rdquo;Q各U城市房C调控政策轮番上阵Q一、二U城市跟q出台甚臛_U调控,三四U城市也加入房地产调控的队伍Q这在历ơ调控周期尚属首ơ?/p><p>上半q_限购、限贷城市持l扩宏V其中,一U城市最Z苛,非本地户c家庭社保连l缴?q限?套,认房又认P二套非普通住戉K付比例超70%Q二U城市调控政{持l深入,青岛、长沙等市相l重启限购,杭州、厦门等市进一步升U调控,**城市周边的三四线城市也纷U出台紧~调控措施,其值得一提的?ldquo;限售“成ؓ新的杀手锏?/p><p>2017下半q展望: 政策?ldquo;E?rdquo;Z但三四线成C场,信贷收羃的媄响将逐渐昄</p><p>首先Q因城施{、分c调控仍是下半年市场调控的主Q各城市自n仍是调控市场的主力,我们预计各线城市整体仍将?ldquo;E?rdquo;ZQ维持现有政{内宏V力度不变。一斚wQ一U和热点二三U城市房L存上涨压力,政策未Ҏ扭{**购房预期Q仍然呈现出“政策向左Q市场向?ldquo;的显著特征,短期内调控政{难以放松,更无退出的可能性;另一斚wQ调控政{一轮严于一轮,政策效果叠加带来的市场变化正在进行量的积累,成交量大q下滑的同时Q房hq逐月收窄Q暂无进一步加码的必要?emsp; </p><p>其次Q针对当前政{造成?ldquo;逆向分化”也好Q还?ldquo;按下葫芦v?rdquo;也ŞQ之前的高库存压力二U和三四U市场开始走上量价齐升的通道。我们预计不排除会有更多的三四线城市跟进落地“限购、限贗限仗限?rdquo;{紧~政{,热点轮动带来的结果就是三四线城市成为楼市调控的C场?/p><p>最后,我们认ؓ金融体系d“~表”q程不可逆,L杆、防风险维持很长时_银行信贷资金量减的影响会从利率创D首付Q极大削p房者支付能力和提高投机风险。当下三四线城市房地产市场成交明显{暖,房贷占新增贷ƾ比重依旧维持在较高水^Q资产荒叠加高杠杆带来的房地产沫风险似乎无解。不q,信贷资金收紧存在着滞后传导期,多数三四U城市市{暖更有可持箋性较差的通病Q无疑金?rdquo;~表“是本轮房地产市?rdquo;扩张“上升的最大变敎ͼ也许市场H变在一夜间?/p> </div> <!--MvcPager 1.5 for ASP.NET MVC 3.0 © 2009-2011 Webdiyer (http://en.webdiyer.com)--> <p class="zi_xun"><a target="_blank">更多_ֽ新文在C资讯首页</a></p> <!-- JiaThis Button BEGIN --> <div class="bshare-custom" style="padding-top: 25px;"><a title="分n? id="bshare-shareto" class="bshare-more">分n?/a><a title="分n到QQI间" 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